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Golden State Warriors

Covers the 6 tracked contracts at the top of this cap sheet — not the full 15-man roster · methods →

RebuildingApron exposureElevated
Front Office Brief

GSW carries $94.3M of tracked production (21st of 30) against $251M of true cost, netting −$157M of surplus (23rd of 30).

Tracked production$94.3M
Tracked true cost$251M
Net surplus−$157M
Tracked contracts6
FSI gradeF · 30/100
Move off Stephen Curry's money

Stephen Curry carries −$60.2M of negative surplus on $122M across 2 years. It grades "needs-sweetener" — the front office's biggest lever is finding the exit before the term shortens the buyer pool further.

Golden State Warriors · Franchise Strategy IndexExperimental
Overall30/100F

Weighted profile led by optionality (41/100).

Roster quality32/100F

$94.3M of tracked production ranks 21st of 30 tracked teams.

Cap flexibility38/100F

$167M committed at the first-apron tier — limited tools.

Asset base25/100F

−$157M of aggregate surplus ranks 23rd of 30 tracked teams.

Championship window29/100F

Blend of 32th-pct production now and 25th-pct surplus to build on.

Downside risk (inverse — higher is safer)15/100F

62% of spend sits in negative-surplus money (heavy concentration).

Optionality41/100D

0 positive-asset contracts plus constrained cap sheet.

Roster thesis

GSW carries $94.3M of tracked production (21st of 30) against $251M of true cost, netting −$157M of surplus (23rd of 30). That profile reads rebuilding: an overall F-grade roster (30/100) whose defining trait is optionality (41/100).

Best asset
Buddy HieldAlbatross risk

Buddy Hield is the surplus engine: −$5.8M on $9.0M, 2.2 marginal wins of production.

Worst liability
Stephen CurryAlbatross risk

Stephen Curry is the drag: −$60.2M under water on $122M still owed over 2 years.

Apron exposure
Tracked booksElevatedFirst-apron majority lifts $167M of cap into $251M of true cost — a $83.7M tax premium and the roster tools that come with it.
Next Decision

Move off Stephen Curry's money

Stephen Curry carries −$60.2M of negative surplus on $122M across 2 years. It grades "needs-sweetener" — the front office's biggest lever is finding the exit before the term shortens the buyer pool further.

Warning

Strategic warning

Concentration risk: Stephen Curry's −$60.2M deal can swallow the flexibility the rest of the sheet creates.

Golden State Warriors · Cap Sheet6 contracts tracked

This is BOW’s curated slice of Golden State Warriors’s books, not the full roster — totals below cover only the 6 tracked contracts shown here.

Tracked cap committed$167M
Production value$94.3M
True cost$251M
Total AASV−$157M
Tracked cap hits
Model Assumptions

AASV = wins × $/win − cap hit × apron multiplier. Set the knobs to your own front-office judgment — every number on this page updates live.

$3.5M
What one marginal win costs on the open market.
1.50×
How much a first-apron team's dollar really costs (tax bill, shrinking roster tools).
2.00×
The punitive tier — frozen picks, no salary aggregation, repeater tax.
Best valueAlbatross risk
Buddy Hield

$9.0M cap hit

−$5.8M AASV

Biggest holeAlbatross risk
Stephen Curry

$59.6M cap hit

−$60.2M AASV

PlayerCap hitAASVVerdict
Stephen Curry$59.6M−$60.2MAlbatross risk
Jimmy Butler$54.1M−$59.3MAlbatross risk
Draymond Green$25.8M−$17.5MAlbatross risk
Al Horford$11.0M−$7.4MAlbatross risk
Buddy Hield$9.0M−$5.8MAlbatross risk
Jonathan Kuminga$7.8M−$6.3MAlbatross risk