Portland Trail Blazers

Covers the 6 tracked contracts at the top of this cap sheet — not the full 15-man roster · methods →

RetoolingApron exposureLow
Front Office Brief

POR carries $97.1M of tracked production (19th of 30) against $116M of true cost, netting −$18.6M of surplus (7th of 30).

Tracked production$97.1M
Tracked true cost$116M
Net surplus−$18.6M
Tracked contracts6
FSI gradeC · 66/100
Build around Toumani Camara

With −$0.8M of surplus from Toumani Camara and −$18.6M team-wide, the live question is how to convert flexibility into a second star while the surplus window is open.

Portland Trail Blazers · Franchise Strategy IndexExperimental
Overall66/100C

Weighted profile led by cap flexibility (88/100).

Roster quality38/100F

$97.1M of tracked production ranks 19th of 30 tracked teams.

Cap flexibility88/100A

$116M committed at the below-apron tier — room to operate.

Asset base78/100B

−$18.6M of aggregate surplus ranks 7th of 30 tracked teams.

Championship window54/100D

Blend of 38th-pct production now and 78th-pct surplus to build on.

Downside risk (inverse — higher is safer)85/100A

16% of spend sits in negative-surplus money (light concentration).

Optionality66/100C

0 positive-asset contracts plus open cap sheet.

Roster thesis

POR carries $97.1M of tracked production (19th of 30) against $116M of true cost, netting −$18.6M of surplus (7th of 30). That profile reads retooling: an overall C-grade roster (66/100) whose defining trait is cap flexibility (88/100).

Best asset
Toumani CamaraFairly priced

Toumani Camara is the surplus engine: −$0.8M on $8.0M, 2.0 marginal wins of production.

Worst liability
Deni AvdijaPaying a premium

Deni Avdija is the drag: −$5.7M under water on $196M still owed over 5 years.

Apron exposure
Tracked booksLowMajority of tracked salary sits below the apron — no penalty multiplier, $116M of clean cap.
Next Decision

Build around Toumani Camara

With −$0.8M of surplus from Toumani Camara and −$18.6M team-wide, the live question is how to convert flexibility into a second star while the surplus window is open.

Warning

Strategic warning

Biggest tail risk is stagnation — a C-grade profile that doesn't add a difference-maker while the surplus holds.

Portland Trail Blazers · Cap Sheet6 contracts tracked

This is BOW’s curated slice of Portland Trail Blazers’s books, not the full roster — totals below cover only the 6 tracked contracts shown here.

Tracked cap committed$116M
Production value$97.1M
True cost$116M
Total AASV−$18.6M
Tracked cap hits
Model Assumptions

AASV = wins × $/win − cap hit × apron multiplier. Set the knobs to your own front-office judgment — every number on this page updates live.

$3.5M
What one marginal win costs on the open market.
1.50×
How much a first-apron team's dollar really costs (tax bill, shrinking roster tools).
2.00×
The punitive tier — frozen picks, no salary aggregation, repeater tax.
Best valueFairly priced
Toumani Camara

$8.0M cap hit

−$0.8M AASV

Biggest holePaying a premium
Deni Avdija

$35.0M cap hit

−$5.7M AASV

PlayerCap hitAASVVerdict
Deni Avdija$35.0M−$5.7MPaying a premium
Jrue Holiday$32.4M−$5.5MPaying a premium
Shaedon Sharpe$18.0M−$1.9MFairly priced
Damian Lillard$14.0M−$3.5MPaying a premium
Donovan Clingan$8.3M−$1.1MFairly priced
Toumani Camara$8.0M−$0.8MFairly priced