Atlanta Hawks

Covers the 6 tracked contracts at the top of this cap sheet — not the full 15-man roster · methods →

Win-now, closingApron exposureLow

Front Office Brief

ATL carries $115M of tracked production (10th of 30) against $154M of true cost, netting −$39.0M of surplus (15th of 30).

Tracked production$115M

Tracked true cost$154M

Net surplus−$39.0M

Tracked contracts6

FSI gradeC · 61/100

Move off Trae Young's money

Trae Young carries −$22.1M of negative surplus on $94.8M across 2 years. It grades "needs-sweetener" — the front office's biggest lever is finding the exit before the term shortens the buyer pool further.

Atlanta Hawks · Franchise Strategy IndexExperimental

Overall61/100C

Weighted profile led by roster quality (68/100).

Roster quality68/100C

$115M of tracked production ranks 10th of 30 tracked teams.

Cap flexibility68/100C

$154M committed at the below-apron tier — room to operate.

Asset base52/100D

−$39.0M of aggregate surplus ranks 15th of 30 tracked teams.

Championship window62/100C

Blend of 68th-pct production now and 52th-pct surplus to build on.

Downside risk (inverse — higher is safer)58/100C

25% of spend sits in negative-surplus money (moderate concentration).

Optionality56/100C

0 positive-asset contracts plus open cap sheet.

Roster thesis

ATL carries $115M of tracked production (10th of 30) against $154M of true cost, netting −$39.0M of surplus (15th of 30). That profile reads win-now: an overall C-grade roster (61/100) whose defining trait is roster quality (68/100).

Best asset

Nickeil Alexander-WalkerFairly priced

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is the surplus engine: −$1.7M on $15.5M, 3.9 marginal wins of production.

Worst liability

Trae YoungAlbatross risk

Trae Young is the drag: −$22.1M under water on $94.8M still owed over 2 years.

Apron exposure

Tracked booksLowMajority of tracked salary sits below the apron — no penalty multiplier, $154M of clean cap.

Next Decision

Move off Trae Young's money

Warning

Strategic warning

Concentration risk: Trae Young's −$22.1M deal can swallow the flexibility the rest of the sheet creates.

Atlanta Hawks · Cap Sheet6 contracts tracked

This is BOW’s curated slice of Atlanta Hawks’s books, not the full roster — totals below cover only the 6 tracked contracts shown here.

Tracked cap committed$154M

Production value$115M

True cost$154M

Total AASV−$39.0M

Tracked cap hits

Model Assumptions

AASV = wins × $/win − cap hit × apron multiplier. Set the knobs to your own front-office judgment — every number on this page updates live.

Price of a win$3.5M

What one marginal win costs on the open market.

First-apron multiplier1.50×

How much a first-apron team's dollar really costs (tax bill, shrinking roster tools).

Second-apron multiplier2.00×

The punitive tier — frozen picks, no salary aggregation, repeater tax.

Best valueFairly priced

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

$15.5M cap hit

−$1.7M AASV

Biggest holeAlbatross risk

Trae Young

$46.0M cap hit

−$22.1M AASV

Player	Cap hit	AASV	Verdict
Trae Young	$46.0M	−$22.1M	Albatross risk
Kristaps Porzingis	$30.7M	−$5.0M	Paying a premium
Jalen Johnson	$30.0M	−$4.9M	Paying a premium
Onyeka Okongwu	$19.5M	−$2.9M	Fairly priced
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	$15.5M	−$1.7M	Fairly priced
Zaccharie Risacher	$12.5M	−$2.5M	Paying a premium